This alert expired on 17 June 2026 at 05:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 7th strongest of the 32 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 19 May 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 11:36PM EDT until June 17 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 1,083,910 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 21, 2026 · score 52 · 6.8 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 52 · 7.9 km
- May 19, 2026 · score 52 · 10.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 42.8374, -79.0331 |
| Nearest City | Fort Erie (11 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.1M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-17T03:36:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2bc1ba2ec631266e2ef87b52cfe25eb3 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor; Dunkirk to Buffalo NY; Lower Niagara River; Niagara River to Hamlin Beach NY; Niagara River to Hamlin Beach NY beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Ripley to Dunkirk NY; Dunkirk to Buffalo NY; Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued June 16 at 11:36PM EDT until June 17 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-06-17T01:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2bc1ba2ec631266e2ef87b52cfe25eb376e208de.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.060fee03e32900030ef8c00f43092200fd07d086.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Fort Erie?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100, near Fort Erie (Canada), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.